Uganda has strong SAF potential on paper (310-858 million L/yr technical potential, 3-8x current Jet A-1 demand) but no operational SAF value chain exists today. The chain is entirely at the planning/feasibility stage as of the ICAO ACT-SAF study (©2025, final draft presented Dec 2025). Feedstock is abundant with named agro-processors (sugarcane via Kakira et al., maize, cassava, ag residues, MSW) but no SAF-dedicated aggregation. No SAF conversion plant exists; the 60,000 bpd Hoima refinery (commissioning Phase 1 ~2026, Alpha MBM + UNOC/URHC) is identified as a near-term co-processing opportunity (3,000 bpd / 5% capacity) but carries no SAF-specific commitment. No SAF blending occurs; the study recommends upstream blending at terminals/Hoima. The conventional uplift chain is well developed and modern — Entebbe's Tristar 25-yr BOT fuel farm (12ML, hydrant system) and the EJAF consortium (Vivo Energy Uganda, TotalEnergies, Tristar) — but no SAF uplift or demonstration flight has occurred. On credit/MRV, Uganda is in CORSIA's voluntary phase with Uganda Airlines registered under CORSIA MRV (2023) and a CORSIA regulation in drafting, but there is no SAF certification, registry, book-and-claim, or named certification body. The only SAF-specific finance signals are the ICAO Finvest Hub (Uganda submitted a SAF policy/incentive funding proposal) and UK FCDO (funded the feasibility study itself); all other financiers named are adjacent climate/energy actors with no SAF-specific commitment.1
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Opportunity Feedstock aggregation/collection logistics for residues, UCO and MSW are undeveloped; all SAF feedstock diversion is hypothetical and competes with food/power uses
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Opportunity No SAF production facility exists or is under FID anywhere in the chain — conversion is entirely conceptual
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Opportunity No committed SAF offtake agreement, blending mandate, or demonstration flight despite a modern fuel-uplift system at Entebbe
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Opportunity No committed SAF offtake agreement, blending mandate, or demonstration flight despite a modern fuel-uplift system at Entebbe
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Opportunity SAF sustainability certification body (e.g., RSB/ISCC) — none engaged
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