The claim gap
i0
of 13 states
No African state can complete a CORSIA-eligible SAF claim today.
Counts a state only when all three hold: Reports under CORSIA (2026 phase) · all four physical stages present · traceability & MRV present.
8/13
Report under CORSIA
The 2026 phase. Without it there is no platform on which to cancel the emissions.
5/13
Structurally barred
Egypt · Ethiopia · Morocco · Mozambique · South Africa — a claim is void here however complete the chain.
0/13
Proof stage — custody + MRV together
Counts custody + MRV as one stage — a state holding one half alone (Nigeria has CORSIA MRV in law) still shows 0.
The atlas
Where the chain can be proven
Shaded by Traceability & MRV evidence — switch the lens to read any stage.
Traceability & MRV evidence
Operating / certifiedPresent in recordPartial · formingAnnounced / plannedNo evidence of presenceNo public evidenceiEvidence by stage
The same continent, read five ways
Evidence is thin and uneven across the chain — thickest at feedstock, and effectively absent at Traceability & MRV. That absence blocks CORSIA claim eligibility specifically — it is not the chain's hardest constraint. Logistics, financing and infrastructure are the heavier lifts.
Feedstock05/13
states with present evidence
Conversion01/13
states with present evidence
Blending01/13
states with present evidence
Uplift & Flight04/13
states with present evidence
Thinnest evidence
Traceability & MRV00/13
states with present evidence
| Stage | Present | Forming | No evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feedstock | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| Conversion | 1 | 7 | 5 |
| Blending | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Uplift & Flight | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| Traceability & MRV | 0 | 8 | 5 |
The value chain, as a flow
The chain narrows toward assurance
Band width is the evidence that survives each link — by the time a molecule could be claimed, roughly a third remains.
physical stagesassurance stage (MRV)width = evidence surviving every upstream link
| Stage | Surviving evidence (index) | Share of feedstock |
|---|---|---|
| Feedstock | 806 | 100% |
| Conversion | 342 | 42% |
| Blending | 276 | 34% |
| Uplift & Flight | 256 | 32% |
| Traceability & MRV | 256 | 32% |
The network
Who has to move
The real actors behind each country’s chain, settled by stage.