Zimbabwe has a credible feedstock and biofuel-processing base (sugarcane ethanol via Green Fuel and Triangle Limited; jatropha biodiesel via Finealt Engineering) plus a functioning conventional aviation-fuel chain (NOIC upstream import/blending via the Beira-Feruka-Harare pipeline; Puma, Zuva and HAFS downstream into-plane supply; ZERA as regulator). However, no SAF is produced, blended, certified, or uplifted today. The 2023 ICAO/EU feasibility study positions ethanol-ATJ as the most viable 3-5 year pathway (HEFA from oilseeds longer term), but every dedicated SAF stage is at planning or absent: there is no ATJ/HEFA conversion plant, no SAF-specific blending/QA capability, no SAF certification (RSB/ISCC) holder, no demonstration flight, and no committed SAF finance. Existing biofuel processing cannot be retrofitted to ATJ/HEFA, so the chain is effectively a strong feedstock front-end with a broken middle and downstream. Web research (2025-2026) shows ethanol volumes scaling hard for the E20 road-blend mandate (~120M L targeted in 2026), which strengthens the feedstock case but is being absorbed by ground transport, not aviation. SAF finance momentum is regional and intent-stage (EIB/EBRD/AfDB joint statement, AfDB-JGC agreement, GCF Zimbabwe portfolio) rather than a Zimbabwe SAF deal.1
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Opportunity Feedstock volumes, though large for ethanol, are committed to the domestic E20 road-fuel mandate (Green Fuel ~120M L for 2026); none is ring-fenced for aviation, so 'availability' is contested rather than secured.
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Opportunity No SAF conversion capacity exists: existing ethanol/biodiesel plants cannot be retrofitted to ATJ or HEFA; a dedicated ATJ-SAF plant (e.g. LanzaJet/Gevo modular) is conceptual only, with no developer, technology license, or FID.
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Opportunity No SAF-specific blending, quality-assurance (ASTM D7566/D1655) or downstream handling capability; NOIC and HAFS are willing but not yet equipped/trained, and there is no hydrant system at HRE.
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Opportunity Actual SAF supply to uplift (no SAF available)
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Opportunity Zimbabwean RSB or ISCC certificate holder (no CORSIA-eligible SAF certified)
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