Feedstock
P Present
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Opportunity Named UCO aggregation network with quantified volumes
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South Africa is the continent's most advanced SAF value chain and the ONLY African country with certified SAF production today. Sasol produces SAF from used cooking oil / vegetable oil at its Natref plant (~108,500 bpd) and in 2026 secured ISCC PLUS certification (TÜV SÜD, Germany), opening exports to the EU under ReFuelEU. Sasol targets 1–2 ML in 2026, ~16 ML in 2027, and up to 100–200 ML/yr by 2030 (including its Secunda complex — the world's largest commercial CTL/GTL, with existing Fischer-Tropsch infrastructure). Feedstock is strong and well-quantified (UCO ~150 kt/yr; sugarcane bagasse ~5.5 Mt; cereal residues ~4 Mt; plus a Solaris biolipid partnership with Anglo American and De Beers). SA also has Africa's most mature carbon-pricing context (a national carbon tax). The catch: current SAF output is oriented to EU export, so the DOMESTIC uplift/into-plane chain and a national SAF MRV/registry for in-country CORSIA claims are less developed than production itself. ZAF is the proof-of-possibility — the chain is effectively closed for export, not yet for domestic claiming.1
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Opportunity Named UCO aggregation network with quantified volumes
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Opportunity Standalone FT-SPK biomass-to-jet plant
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Opportunity Named petroleum/fuel-standards regulator for SAF blending
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Opportunity Production is EU-export-oriented (ReFuelEU) — domestic uplift/into-plane offtake for South African flights is not yet established
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Opportunity South Africa not yet a CORSIA participant (joins Phase 2, 2027)
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