Sizes feedstock requirements for a target SAF output, estimates cost ranges using current public price prints, and flags supply-side risks (laundering hotspots, ILUC, certification gaps, supply share). All prices are indicative — verify before quoting.
Inputs
Conversion pathway
HEFA — Hydroprocessed Esters & Fatty Acids
Feedstock
Filtered by pathway compatibility.
Target SAF output
= 7,800 MT SAF · 10,000,000 L · 2,641,722 US gal
Region
Feedstock requirement
12,195MT
≈ 13,401,233 L at 0.91 kg/L density
Yield factor: 0.820 L SAF / kg feedstock. IATA SAF Handbook 2024 §4.2 (HEFA mass yield ~80% on UCO, jet cut ~70%)
CI Score
13.9
gCO₂eq/MJ
ICAO Doc 06 (Nov 2025) row 2.6 · Used cooking oil
Estimated feedstock cost — Africa
Q1 2026 (indicative)
Low
$7.32M
Mid
$9.76M
High
$12.20M
Unit price$600 – $800 – $1,000 / MTSourceLimited public liquidity; values inferred from Nigeria + Kenya export prints
Indicative — verify before quoting. Spot markets for waste- and residue-based feedstocks are thin; expect quoted off-take pricing to deviate ±20% from these ranges.
Supply context — Africa
Estimated regional supply
400,000 MT/yr
Your share
3.0%
Order-of-magnitude estimate from FAO + IEA Bioenergy + UN Comtrade. Not a procurement-grade supply curve.
Red-flag risks (2)
Notable
Africa-export-from-Asia laundering pattern — small UCO volumes booked as African-origin then re-exported with falsified provenance. African UCO supply is structurally limited.
Recommendation: Verify origin claims with local food-service / hospitality industry data. Cross-check against FAO + ITC export volumes. Use country-of-origin attestations cleared by RSB or ISCC.
T&E + Cerulogy 2024 reports on African biofuel supply chains
NotableShare observed: 3.0%
Requested feedstock volume exceeds 3% of estimated annual regional supply — a material share that will move regional pricing if procured in a single off-take.
Recommendation: Develop a multi-supplier sourcing plan and engage with regional aggregators early. Build at least 6 months of feedstock inventory buffer.
